• 2017 August 10 16:08

    MABUX: no firm trend on global bunker market next week

    The Bunker Review is contributed by Marine Bunker Exchange
     
    World fuel indexes demonstrated irregular changes during the week. Despite of that, prices are still holding on to near nine-week highs, supported by robust U.S. jobs da-ta and a slight fall in the U.S. drill rig count, even as rising output from OPEC capped global fuel market.

    MABUX World Bunker Index (consists of a range of prices for 380 HSFO, 180 HSFO and MGO at the main world hubs) hasn’t had any firm trend and changed irregular in the period of Aug. 03 – Aug. 10:

    380 HSFO - up from 300.50 to 305.14 USD/MT      (+4.64)
    180 HSFO - up from 341.29 to 345.07 USD/MT      (+3.78)
    MGO        - down from 521.14 to 515.50  USD/MT (-5.64)

    OPEC production rose in June and July, putting the group’s output at its highest level so far this year. Iraq and the UAE have routinely overproduced, while Saudi Arabia has also boosted output to meet higher summer demand. Rising production from exempted countries Libya and Nigeria are overwhelming some of OPEC’s cuts. Total production from the cartel stands somewhere around 32.9 million barrels per day: almost 1 million bpd above its low point from earlier this year.

    Meantime, a joint OPEC - non-OPEC technical committee said on Aug.08, that it expects greater adherence to the pact to cut 1.8 million barrels per day in production. As a part of these efforts, Saudi Arabia promised to cut allocations to its customers worldwide in September by at least 520,000 barrels per day (bpd). The UAE, Iraq, Kazakhstan, and Malaysia also ex-pressed their full support for the existing agreement and their willingness to cooperate in order to achieve the goal of reaching full conformity to the deal.

    Iraqi oil exports topped 100 million barrels in July, but that’s still lower than the 3.93 million barrels per day rate Baghdad boasted back in May. Each month, the United States accepts a larger share of Iraq’s total exports in a bid to replace the high sulphur, heavy grades of crude that Saudi Arabia used to supply. Riyadh has made lowering its exports to the U.S. as a part of its strategy to lower crude inventories in the North American nation.

    In the beginning of this week Libya’s largest oil field Sharara was once again endangered by local fighting: a key control room at the facility was shut down. Several hours later output was restored, although there was no information if the field was producing at full capacity. These events show how sensitive is Libya’s oil sector at the moment. If ongoing problems do present there, it could put a significant dent in crude supplies - giving support to the global fuel prices.

    Meantime, as per statistics, Libya’s crude output and exports reached a fresh three-year high last month. The country shipped about 865,000 barrels a day of crude in July. That was a gain of 11 percent from June, which was already the highest since at least July 2014. The speed at which Libya can revive crude sales is rather critical for the fuel market at the moment: OPEC extended the cuts accord and Libya’s exemption from it through March 2018.

    The crisis in Venezuela continues. The U.S. imports about 800,000 bpd of Venezuelan heavy crude; cutting that off could potentially lead to full-on collapse in Venezuela and would likely also deepen the humanitarian crisis. Even limited new US-imposed sanctions or discussions of broader sanctions could be a catalyst for Venezuela defaulting on its upcoming debt payments.

    Due to these risks the Trump administration declined to sanction Venezuela’s oil sector and instead announced sanctions specifically targeting President Nicolas Maduro. At the same time, U.S. officials have said that the more severe punishment of oil-related sanctions are still on the table. So there is a big risk of default for Venezuela, which will impact global fuel market and push oil and fuel prices further up.
     
    U.S. shale is showing some signs of slowing down. There are a variety of reasons for this, including fear of another price downturn, more caution from oil companies themselves and slowdown in drilling services. U.S. drillers cut one oil rig in the week to Aug. 4, bringing the total count down to 765.

    However, after hedging largely stopped when WTI prices fell down in June, U.S. shale oil producers have started to hedge again. There is, however, a difference from the last hedging activity that took place after OPEC and Russia started their output cut deal. Now, some Companies are hedging at prices as low as US$45 a barrel. Shale producers are once again careful with their future profits, or at least the avoidance of losses.

    U.S. crude oil inventories continue to fall. The EIA just released last week’s data, show-ing another drawdown in inventories: by 6.5 million barrels to 475.4 million. U.S. crude oil inventories are now down more than 50 million barrels from the peak hit in March, with stocks back within the five-year range. This data added to optimism that the fundamentals were beginning to rebalance.

    The market looks rather steady at the moment hoping that OPEC+ cuts will likely translate into much lower production next year. Bunker prices may continue irregular changes next week: it is too early to talk about any firm upward trend.

     

     

     

     

     

     

    * MGO LS
    All prices stated in USD / Mton
    All time high Brent = $147.50 (July 11, 2008)
    All time high Light crude (WTI) = $147.27 (July 11, 2008)





2017 October 20

18:31 Finnpilot Pilotage Ltd joins the ITS Finland network
18:10 Kari Wihlman appointed as Director-General of Finnish Transport Agency with effect from 1 January 2018
17:47 Rosmorport appoints Oksana Masyuk as Deputy Director for Economics and Finance of its Arkhangelsk Branch (photo)
17:19 Russian Railways's loading of export freight from ports increases by almost by 6% in 3 quarters of 2017
16:56 Scandlines Helsingborg-Helsingör expands capacity
16:28 USPA announced tender for construction of berth 1-z in Port of Odessa
16:03 Wärtsilä's asset and lifecycle management agreement lets GasLog concentrate on its core business
16:00 Wilson Sons Shipyards delivers SST-Aruá to SAAM SMIT
15:31 In 9M’17, TransContainer transported 1.31 mln TEUs, up 17.7% Y-o-Y
15:03 Otto Energy starts drilling of the ST 224 #1 well
14:29 Opening ceremony of Russian-Indian international Indra-2017 exercise held in Vladivostok
14:02 d’Amico International Shipping launches the first three LR1 vessels
13:30 Sea transport of Sevastopol carried 660,400 passengers in September 2017, down 3.2%, Y-o-Y
13:02 ICTSI orders hybrid RTGs for Manila flagship
12:44 Draft procedure for investment port duty assessment is available at federal portal for legal information (document)
12:22 Aker Solutions wins order for world's largest umbilicals system
12:19 APL starts new Korea China Straits service
12:05 LNG reloading station of Klaipėdos nafta applies highest safety standards
11:37 Major ASW ship Vice Admiral Kulakov enters the port of Alexandria
11:08 Zvezda Shipbuilding complex, Rosnefteflot and Taimyrneftegaz agreed to build and operate 10 Arctic shuttle tankers
10:43 Conference “LNG Fleet and LNG Bunkering in Russia”: registration is underway
10:20 Brent Crude futures price up 0.24% to $57.37, Light Sweet Crude – up 0.33% to $51.46
09:59 Innovative passenger catamaran Grifon presented in Saint-Petersburg (photo)
09:32 Bunker prices are slightly up at the Port of Saint-Petersburg, Russia (graph)
09:14 Baltic Dry Index up to 1,582 points

2017 October 19

18:01 Record shipment marks ABP Ipswich and Glencore support of UK farmer
17:38 Arab Association for Women in the Maritime Sector launched in Egypt
17:15 Throughput of port Kaliningrad in Jan-Sep'17 grew by 17% to 10.17 mln t
16:50 Throughput of the port of Rotterdam up 2% to 351.5 mln t in 9M’17
16:39 Panama Maritime Authority holds a kick-off ceremony for the construction of the new Amador Cruise Port
16:21 Russian and Greek ships to participate in 190th Anniversary of the Battle of Navarino
15:59 Hartmann Group's AHTS fleet secures long-term investment
15:39 Throughput of port Vyborg up 15% to 1.09 mln t in 9M’17
15:13 Throughput of port Vysotsk up 3% to 12.91 mln t in 9M’17
14:44 Throughput of port Primorsk in 9M’17 down 8% Y-o-Y to 44.68 mln t
14:38 MABUX: Global bunker prices may continue upward evolution next week
14:17 Throughput of port Ust-Luga up 11% to 76.02 mln t in 9M’17
13:50 Bunker market in the Far East ports of Russia sees mixed price movements (graph)
13:25 Throughput of Big Port St. Petersburg up 10% to 39.48 mln t in 9M’17
13:02 TechnipFMC reaches an agreement to acquire Plexus’ exploration wellhead business
12:46 USC to transit to a new corporate management system
12:33 Knyaz Vladimir cruise liner ends 2017 navigation
12:31 Port of Fujairah and Dutch Port companies sign MOU
12:01 Prosafe updates operational results for Q3 2017
11:39 First vessel with coal shipped from Rosterminalugol to Portugal (photo)
11:20 Clean Marine receives a seven-system order from Inventor Chemical Tankers
11:08 Drydocks World recognized as the region’s best rig repair yard
10:54 Crude oil futures prices edge down 0.05% to $58,12 in London, in New York - 0.08% to $52,0 a barrel
10:41 Marine Institute CNIIMF to focus on LNG bunker market pricing at the Conference LNG Fleet & LNG Bunkering in Russia
10:08 Samsung Heavy Industries wins order to build LNG-FSRU
09:16 Baltic Dry Index edges up to 1566
09:08 Fincantieri starts dry dock works on Viking’s sixth ocean ship
08:16 Conductix-Wampfler’s LASSTEC Container Weighing System Earns OIML R51 Certification

2017 October 18

19:36 Experts to assess damage caused by tanker’s allision with Primorsk port’s pier
18:06 Scorpio Bulkers announces commitment for a new loan facility
17:36 New regular Ro-Ro service starts from Port of Koper to Japan
17:01 ABP’s Port of Ipswich welcomes Department for International Trade’s Export
16:31 Cammell Laird strikes ‘Teaming Agreement’ with BAE Systems in bid to build Type 31e Frigates
16:30 ABP’s Port of King’s Lynn helps support national infrastructure project
16:03 CMA CGM announces FAK rates from ISC to North Europe and Mediterranean