• 2017 August 10 16:08

    MABUX: no firm trend on global bunker market next week

    The Bunker Review is contributed by Marine Bunker Exchange
    World fuel indexes demonstrated irregular changes during the week. Despite of that, prices are still holding on to near nine-week highs, supported by robust U.S. jobs da-ta and a slight fall in the U.S. drill rig count, even as rising output from OPEC capped global fuel market.

    MABUX World Bunker Index (consists of a range of prices for 380 HSFO, 180 HSFO and MGO at the main world hubs) hasn’t had any firm trend and changed irregular in the period of Aug. 03 – Aug. 10:

    380 HSFO - up from 300.50 to 305.14 USD/MT      (+4.64)
    180 HSFO - up from 341.29 to 345.07 USD/MT      (+3.78)
    MGO        - down from 521.14 to 515.50  USD/MT (-5.64)

    OPEC production rose in June and July, putting the group’s output at its highest level so far this year. Iraq and the UAE have routinely overproduced, while Saudi Arabia has also boosted output to meet higher summer demand. Rising production from exempted countries Libya and Nigeria are overwhelming some of OPEC’s cuts. Total production from the cartel stands somewhere around 32.9 million barrels per day: almost 1 million bpd above its low point from earlier this year.

    Meantime, a joint OPEC - non-OPEC technical committee said on Aug.08, that it expects greater adherence to the pact to cut 1.8 million barrels per day in production. As a part of these efforts, Saudi Arabia promised to cut allocations to its customers worldwide in September by at least 520,000 barrels per day (bpd). The UAE, Iraq, Kazakhstan, and Malaysia also ex-pressed their full support for the existing agreement and their willingness to cooperate in order to achieve the goal of reaching full conformity to the deal.

    Iraqi oil exports topped 100 million barrels in July, but that’s still lower than the 3.93 million barrels per day rate Baghdad boasted back in May. Each month, the United States accepts a larger share of Iraq’s total exports in a bid to replace the high sulphur, heavy grades of crude that Saudi Arabia used to supply. Riyadh has made lowering its exports to the U.S. as a part of its strategy to lower crude inventories in the North American nation.

    In the beginning of this week Libya’s largest oil field Sharara was once again endangered by local fighting: a key control room at the facility was shut down. Several hours later output was restored, although there was no information if the field was producing at full capacity. These events show how sensitive is Libya’s oil sector at the moment. If ongoing problems do present there, it could put a significant dent in crude supplies - giving support to the global fuel prices.

    Meantime, as per statistics, Libya’s crude output and exports reached a fresh three-year high last month. The country shipped about 865,000 barrels a day of crude in July. That was a gain of 11 percent from June, which was already the highest since at least July 2014. The speed at which Libya can revive crude sales is rather critical for the fuel market at the moment: OPEC extended the cuts accord and Libya’s exemption from it through March 2018.

    The crisis in Venezuela continues. The U.S. imports about 800,000 bpd of Venezuelan heavy crude; cutting that off could potentially lead to full-on collapse in Venezuela and would likely also deepen the humanitarian crisis. Even limited new US-imposed sanctions or discussions of broader sanctions could be a catalyst for Venezuela defaulting on its upcoming debt payments.

    Due to these risks the Trump administration declined to sanction Venezuela’s oil sector and instead announced sanctions specifically targeting President Nicolas Maduro. At the same time, U.S. officials have said that the more severe punishment of oil-related sanctions are still on the table. So there is a big risk of default for Venezuela, which will impact global fuel market and push oil and fuel prices further up.
    U.S. shale is showing some signs of slowing down. There are a variety of reasons for this, including fear of another price downturn, more caution from oil companies themselves and slowdown in drilling services. U.S. drillers cut one oil rig in the week to Aug. 4, bringing the total count down to 765.

    However, after hedging largely stopped when WTI prices fell down in June, U.S. shale oil producers have started to hedge again. There is, however, a difference from the last hedging activity that took place after OPEC and Russia started their output cut deal. Now, some Companies are hedging at prices as low as US$45 a barrel. Shale producers are once again careful with their future profits, or at least the avoidance of losses.

    U.S. crude oil inventories continue to fall. The EIA just released last week’s data, show-ing another drawdown in inventories: by 6.5 million barrels to 475.4 million. U.S. crude oil inventories are now down more than 50 million barrels from the peak hit in March, with stocks back within the five-year range. This data added to optimism that the fundamentals were beginning to rebalance.

    The market looks rather steady at the moment hoping that OPEC+ cuts will likely translate into much lower production next year. Bunker prices may continue irregular changes next week: it is too early to talk about any firm upward trend.







    * MGO LS
    All prices stated in USD / Mton
    All time high Brent = $147.50 (July 11, 2008)
    All time high Light crude (WTI) = $147.27 (July 11, 2008)

2018 March 21

00:32 Ontario Government accepts Damen proposal for full ferry electrification

2018 March 20

18:20 Sirius Petroleum announces delivery of compact well head systems for Ororo-4 and Ororo-5
18:02 Leningrad Region Governor visits Vyborg Shipyard
17:56 PSA’s Bharat Mumbai Container Terminals enhances Nhava Sheva connectivity with first barge and train volumes
17:40 Van Oord posts results for 2017
17:25 Nevsky Shipyard designed a unique test stand
16:58 Multi-Link Terminals Ltd Oy orders Konecranes ship-to-shore crane for its Helsinki terminal
16:40 SMM 2018: green shipping makes headway
16:01 Transit shipments of containers on Russian Railways' network increased by 40% in January-February 2018
15:36 Rotterdam, the Netherlands will host 21st Ballast Water Management Conference on 7-8 November, 2018
15:13 NWSA container volumes grow 6 percent in February 2018
14:50 IMO Secretary-General Kitack Lim spoke at International Shipping Summit in Istanbul
14:24 More than half of spaces at icebreaker Arktika being built by Baltiysky Zavod are ready for outfitting (photo)
14:12 Maersk Line increases FAK rates from Far East to North Europe
13:35 Dredging works to be performed at seaport of Vladivostok
13:13 BP charters Safe Caledonia for West of Shetland
12:47 Traffic of passenger cars and buses through Crimea Bridge to be launched in May 2018 – RF Transport Ministry (photo)
12:01 Wan Hai Lines to launch new China to Vietnam service
11:51 40 icebreaker escort operations performed in eastern part of Gulf of Finland during 24 hours on March 19-20
11:28 Bunker prices level up at the Far East ports of Russia following last week’s fall (graph)
11:19 Maersk Line stops Winter Fee from world to St Petersburg FCT, RU, St Petersburg, RU, St Petersburg FP, RU, Ust Luga, RU and Kronshtadt
11:03 Skangas celebrates milestone with 1,000 LNG bunkering operations in 2017
10:40 Experts say Wärtsilä – Transas transaction is a step towards Wartsila localization in Russia
10:14 Brent Crude futures price up 0.3% to $66.25, Light Sweet Crude – up 0.34% to $62.34
09:37 Rosneft produced 225.5 mmtoe of liquid hydrocarbons in 2017, up 7.3% YoY
09:15 Baltic Dry Index down to 1,136 points

2018 March 19

18:06 CMA CGM announces GRR from Asia to East Africa
18:00 NIBULON awarded first advanced training certificates of state standard to shipbuilders
17:39 Vladivostok Sea Fishing Port handled 618,500 tonnes of fish in 2M’18, up 19.8% Y-o-Y
17:22 Gross revenue of Sovcomflot in 2017 grew by 3.4% to $1.43 billion
16:58 VSC terminal launches train services to Ramenskoye Station
16:41 Wagenborg carries out inspections in Russian Far East
16:30 ClassNK releases Guidelines for Direct Load Analysis and Strength Assessment of hull structure
16:06 Port of Rotterdam Authority: solid financial results in 2017 create new scope for ambitious investment programme
15:49 Maersk Line relaunches Asia-Europe Network to increase schedule reliability
15:43 Port of Rotterdam could increase its market share in certain regions in South-West Germany by up to 23%
15:17 North Rhine-Westphalia and Port of Rotterdam make start on port agreement
14:54 Exercise on maritime security held in Nigeria on 14-16 March
14:29 Rosneft posts growth of its net income in 2017, by 40.7% to USD 3.8 billion
13:55 Average wholesale prices for М-100 HFO down to RUB 11,944 in RF spot market
13:32 Workshop on how to design and conduct drills and maritime security exercises held in Jamaica
13:10 DP World and NIIF joint venture Hindustan Infralog to acquire 90% of Continental Warehousing Corporation in India
12:48 52 icebreaker escort operations performed in eastern part of Gulf of Finland during 24 hours on March 18-19
12:21 Wärtsilä acquires Transas to accelerate its Smart Marine Ecosystem vision
12:05 ULSTEIN holds steel cutting for SunStone's X-BOW expedition cruise vessel
11:49 Aker Arctic and ICEYE to provide satellite ice information
11:30 13th Arctic Passion Seminar held in Helsinki
11:08 Bibby Offshore announces merger with Rever Offshore
10:45 Container throughput of port Hong Kong (China) up 2.2% to 3.22 million TEUs in Jan-Feb’18
10:23 Brent Crude futures price down 0.48% to $65.89, Light Sweet Crude – down 0.46% to $62.12
10:08 MSC launches new freight rail service between Seville, Spain, and the Atlantic
09:42 Singapore will host 17th Vessel Efficiency and Fuel Management Summit on 29-30 August 2018
09:17 Baltic Dry Index down to 1,143 points
09:08 Ulstein celebrates keel laying of Lindblad’s first polar new build
08:04 DP World acquires fully integrated logistics services provider in Peru

2018 March 17

06:48 Seatrade convicted for trafficking toxic ships

2018 March 16

18:06 Rijkswaterstaat awards Afsluitdijk project to Levvel consortium
17:36 HHLA Container Terminal Burchardkai handles new record ship
17:05 ICS publishes latest Flag State Performance Table
16:51 Vladimir Putin inspected the completed new road section of the Crimean Bridge