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  • 2020 July 1 16:18

    COVID-19 dampens long-term energy demand and highlights scale of climate emergency

    The economic and behavioural ramifications of COVID-19 will significantly reduce global long-term energy demand, according to new research by the authors of DNV GL’s Energy Transition Outlook. COVID-19 has also hastened the decline in carbon dioxide emissions – with 2019 set to be the year of peak CO2 emissions - yet the overall impact on our carbon budget is minimal.

    Compared to DNV GL’s pre-pandemic forecast, the amount of energy required by humanity in 2050 will be 8% lower.  Energy efficiency remains the key driver to reducing the world’s energy needs, although lower economic output following the COVID-19 pandemic is putting a further brake on demand.  Lasting behavioural changes to travel, commuting and working habits will also decrease energy usage and lessen demand for fossil fuels from the transport sector as well as from iron and steel production.

    ”We are still at a critical junction. We basically have the technologies to deliver on the Paris ambition, but we need smarter policies to scale these technologies much faster. COVID-19 has caused enormous human suffering, but has at the same time shown us that measures can be implemented fast at scale,” said Remi Eriksen, Group President and CEO of DNV GL.  “This is an opportunity that cannot go to waste. Governments and international regulatory institutions must take this opportunity to make a lasting impact on decarbonization.”

    Energy demand from the transport sector will never reach pre-pandemic levels due to the downturn in the aviation sector and because of altered commuting habits as people work from home more.  In turn, the energy intensive process of iron and steel production will be hit by a reduced demand for office space.

    With the earlier than anticipated plateauing of oil and the continued rapid decline of coal use, DNV GL’s forecast shows that CO2 emissions most likely have already peaked (in 2019).  However, even with peak emissions behind us, and flat energy demand through to 2050, the energy transition is still nowhere near fast enough to deliver on the Paris ambition of keeping global warming well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels. To reach the 1.5-degree target, we would need to repeat the decline in emissions we’re experiencing in 2020 every year from now on.

    To put this in perspective, the COVID-19 impact on energy demand only buys humanity another year of ‘allowable’ emissions before the 1.5°C target is exhausted (in 2029) and a couple of years before the 2°C warming carbon budget is exhausted (in the year 2050).  

    “The depth of the climate crisis is immense, but we have all the tools to prevent unsustainable global warming.  Companies and governments must act now. Now more than ever we need technology and the scaling of technology to accelerate the uptake of renewables, energy efficiency measures as well as the deployment of industrial scale carbon capture and storage, and the use of alternative fuels,” said Eriksen.  

    The full Energy Transition Outlook will be published on September 9 2020

    About DNV GL
    DNV GL is the independent expert in risk management and quality assurance, operating in more than 100 countries. Through its broad experience and deep expertise DNV GL advances safety and sustainable performance, sets industry benchmarks, and inspires and invents solutions. Whether assessing a new ship design, optimizing the performance of a wind farm, analyzing sensor data from a gas pipeline or certifying a food company’s supply chain, DNV GL enables its customers and their stakeholders to make critical decisions with confidence.


2022 June 25

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2022 June 24

18:37 OneSea Energy B.V. and Subsea 7 conclude an MOU on collaboration in offshore hydrogen production
18:06 HJSC wins a bid to build two dual-fuel LNG 7,700 TEU-class container ships
17:57 PortNews’ week headlines summary
17:06 MOL, Tsuneishi Shipbuilding and Mitsui E&S Shipbuilding start joint development on net zero emission ammonia-fueled ocean-going liquefied gas carrier
16:51 Samsung Heavy Industries lands orders for 14 LNG carriers - Businesskorea
16:01 Expert says Russia’s Far Eastern seaports set for handling up to 1.5 million TEUs of exports
15:46 Alicat secures £2 million contract to build further two new vessels for North Star’s renewables fleet
14:55 CMA CGM and Port Authority of Singapore sign MoU
14:30 Gazprom Dobycha Nadym to start reclamation project for the development of the Yamal’s Kruzenshternskoye field
14:03 Chevron Marine Lubricants white paper assesses future cylinder oil needs
13:21 Bureau Veritas delivers AiP to the MANTA, an innovative clean up vessel
12:42 Sea Port of St.Petersburg beefs up its crane fleet
12:35 DP World and PCFC to modernise Romania’s Constanta Port with new RO-RO terminal
12:29 Sber CIB expects oil price to hit $100 barrel by year-end
12:09 Successful completion of CNF19M ferry "General Chernyakhovsky" sea trials
12:09 Crowley, ESVAGT strengthen venture for U.S. offshore wind vessels
11:52 Port of Corpus Christi sets new tonnage and revenue records in first four months of 2022
11:35 Samskip and Ocean Infinity secure funds to drive forward hydrogen-fuelled SeaShuttle container ship
11:33 Oil prices show weak growth, mixed changes
11:25 “Viking Saturn” floated out in Ancona
10:53 HYPORT Coordination Company signs second land reservation agreement for a green hydrogen and ammonia production plant with OPAZ
10:41 Chinese shipbuilders delivered the largest container ship ever
10:30 Baltic Enabler transferred to the WALLENIUS SOL shipping line
10:12 Wilhelmsen enters into agreement to acquire Stromme to join forces on cargo hold cleaning
08:58 MABUX: Bunker prices may demonstrate irregular changes on June 24

2022 June 23

18:35 Emanuele Grimaldi appointed ICS Chairman
17:51 Ports of Stockholm opens new quay at Frihamnen Port
17:31 German seaports call for new ideas to reduce ship emissions - bremenports
17:16 PIL launches new service WS6 to expand coverage between Far East and West Coast South America
16:56 ZIM Integrated Shipping Services joins SEA-LNG coalition
16:35 thyssenkrupp nucera joins United Nations Global Compact
16:26 The shortage of Eastern rail operating domain annual throughput capacity in 2022 exceeds 100 million tonnes
16:04 MacGregor receives a repeat order to supply comprehensive RoRo equipment to another four innovative PCTCs
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15:28 Russian bunker market sales volume may shrink by 10% to 6 million tonnes in 2022
15:24 WinGD X-EL Energy Solutions brings engine expertise to energy system integration
15:14 Cheniere and Chevron sign long-term LNG sale and purchase agreements
14:43 Wartsila accelerates Zanzibar port digitalisation project
14:22 Software solutions provider Intellicore secures partnership contract with maritime firm du Pré Marine
13:49 Cheniere announces positive final investment decision on the Corpus Christi Stage 3 Liquefaction Project
13:21 Ship It Zero resolution passes Long Beach City Council - AJOT
12:35 DNV awards KSOE AiP for new LNG fuel supply system Hi-eGAS
12:07 World Shipping Council Containers Lost at Sea Report 2022 update published
11:25 The 15-th Current State and Development of the Russian Market of Bunkering Services Conference kicks off in St. Petersburg
11:10 ECSA welcomes Parliament’s strong support to Ocean Fund and ETS costs’ pass-through to operators
10:51 Fincantieri starts construction of new class of ultra-eco-friendly ships for TUI Cruises
10:20 Challenger Management partners with DP World to finance trade in emerging markets
09:45 PSA and OOCL complete green pilot trial for integrated & enhanced container flow between Keppel Distripark and On-Dock Depot
09:29 ABS and Texas A&M Qatar agree on landmark carbon capture joint study
08:52 MABUX: Bunker prices may decline on June 23

2022 June 22

18:35 Brittany Ferries’ Saint-Malo will be the largest hybrid-vessel ever built
18:07 MAN Energy Solutions and UGS make joint decarbonisation commitment
17:19 DNV’s ShipManager supports growth of Montec Ship Management
16:57 GTT entrusted by Hyundai Samho Heavy Industries to design the fuel tanks for four new LNG-fueled container vessels
15:51 MOL establishes subsidiary EcoMOL
15:49 Volga Shipping says it purchases 100% of bunker fuel for its fleet in Russian ports