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  • MABUX: Bunker Market this morning, Oct 28
  • 2020 October 28 10:01

    MABUX: Bunker Market this morning, Oct 28

    The Bunker Review was contributed by Marine Bunker Exchange (MABUX)

    Oil Market close yesterday evening
    Oil rises 2% on U.S. Gulf shutdowns, outlook weak.

    Crude settled higher on Tuesday as companies shut down some U.S. Gulf of Mexico oil production ahead of an approaching storm, although surging coronavirus infections and rising Libyan supply limited gains.

    Companies including BP, Chevron, Shell and Equinor ASA evacuated rigs or closed facilities. So far producers have shut 16%, or 294,000 barrels per day (bpd) of oil output due to Zeta, which weakened to a tropical storm on Tuesday from a hurricane on Monday, the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) said.

    Brent crude closed up 75 cents, or 1.9%, at $41.21 per barrel by 1:22 EDT (1722 GMT). U.S. oil gained $1.01 cents, or 2.6%, to $39.57. Both contracts fell more than 3% on Monday.

    The storm-induced bump in prices may be short-lived, however, with demand expected to weaken anew with coronavirus cases rising.
    “We have a lot of weakness...no vaccine, no stimulus, and the very real possibility of a contested election in a couple days, and a stock market that won’t react positively to that,” said Bob Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho.

    Libya’s production should rebound to 1 million bpd in coming weeks, complicating efforts by other OPEC members and allies to restrict output.
    The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, known as OPEC+, are planning to increase production by 2 million bpd from January after record output cuts this year. That would cut overall reductions to 7.7 million bpd - still an enormous amount by the standards of major oil producers, but it may not be enough to offset weak demand.

    Russian President Vladimir Putin, speaking last Thursday, did not rule out extending the cuts for longer.

    “As the virus continues to spread, the odds of additional OPEC + production tends to diminish in helping to provide some balance to the market,” said Jim Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch and Associates.

    The latest weekly U.S. oil inventory figures, due later on Tuesday and on Wednesday, are expected to show rising supplies. Analysts polled by Reuters expect crude stocks to rise by about 1.1 million barrels.

    Oil Market today Wednesday morning
    Oil falls 2% as rise in U.S. crude stocks fans oversupply fears.

    Oil prices slid about 2 percent on Wednesday, giving up most of the previous day’s gains, as a surge in U.S. crude stocks and growing coronavirus infections in the United States and Europe fanned fears of a supply glut in oil and weaker fuel demand.

    Brent crude was down 76 cents, or 1.8%, at $40.44 a barrel by 0343 GMT, having climbed nearly 2% the previous day. U.S. oil was down 90 cents, or 2.3%, at $38.67 a barrel, after gaining 2.6% on Tuesday.

    U.S. crude oil and gasoline stocks rose last week, data from industry group the American Petroleum Institute showed, with crude inventories rising by 4.6 million barrels to about 495.2 million barrels, against analysts’ expectations in a Reuters poll for a build of 1.2 million barrels.

    “The higher-than-expected build in U.S. crude stocks prompted fresh selling, while concerns over supply disruption from Hurricane Zeta have receded,” said Hiroyuki Kikukawa, general manager of research at Nissan Securities.

    Energy firms and ports along the U.S. Gulf Coast prepared on Tuesday for Zeta, the 11th hurricane of the season, as it entered the Gulf of Mexico.
    “Rising COVID-19 cases with the lack of a U.S. coronavirus fiscal relief package also dented investors’ risk appetite,” Kikukawa said. He expected the gloomy sentiment to keep prices under pressure through the Nov. 3 U.S. presidential election.

    The United States, Russia, France and other countries have registered record numbers of infections in recent days, and European governments have introduced new curbs to try to rein in the fast-growing outbreaks.

    President Donald Trump acknowledged on Tuesday that a coronavirus economic relief deal would likely come after the election, with the White House unable to bridge differences with fellow Republicans in the U.S. Senate as well as congressional Democrats.

    “With and without another lockdown, movement across Europe and North America will fall during the coming winter months as most people avoid travel and big gatherings,” said Henning Gloystein, director of global energy & natural resources at Eurasia Group, in a note on Wednesday.

    “This will dent fuel consumption and almost certainly force OPEC and its allies to continue withholding oil supply well into 2021,” he said.

    The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, known as OPEC+, plans to scale back the size of its production cuts in January from a current 7.7 million barrels per day (bpd) to roughly 5.7 million bpd in January. While still an enormous amount, this may not be enough to offset weak demand.

    Adding to pressure, Libya’s production should rebound to 1 million bpd in coming weeks, complicating efforts by other OPEC members and allies to restrict output.

    Oil Future close 27th October, 2020
    Brent crude:          $ 41.20 (+0.74) /brl         FM delivery Dec (FM=Front Month)
    Light crude (WTI): $ 39.57 (+1.01) /brl         FM delivery Dec
    Gasoil ARA;           $ 329.50 (+9.25) /mton    FM delivery Nov
    NY Harbor Ulsd:     $ 356.41 (+11.05) /mton  FM delivery Nov  

    Oil Futures trading at GMT 06.46; Brent: $ -0.72, WTI: $ -0.87.

    Expect Fuel Oil prices to increase 4 - 9 usd/mton. (Fuel Oil, means 380 HS plus VLSFO together). MGO is expected to increase around 7 usd/mton and NY Harbor Ulsd an increase of 11 usd/mton.  All prices based on Oil Future close last night Tuesday evening.




2021 December 7

18:15 Ernst Russ AG to acquire further shares in a Fleet Holding Company
17:59 Kuzey Star Shipyard holds steel cutting ceremony for Atomflot’s new floating dock
17:36 Stena Line expands and launches new route between Stockholm Norvik and Hanko
17:15 Boskalis consortium secures EUR 24 million research grant to advance emission-free shipping
16:45 New report highlights regional economic importance of Ports of Stockholm
16:33 LAS Admiral Panteleev of RF Navy’s Pacific Fleet started transition to Vladivostok from Indonesia after participation in ARNEX-2021
16:15 Angola starts CLOV Phase 2 project
15:50 Rosneft signed contract with Indian Oil for supplying up to 2 mln tons of crude oil to India
15:45 Strategic Marine wins additional order for new 42m Fast Crew Boat from Centus Marine
15:27 Ships of RF Navy and Egypt Navy start naval phase of Bridge of Friendship 2021 joint exercise
15:03 Wärtsilä partners with Microsoft to strengthen their Edge platform and industrialise Marine IoT
14:41 NOVATEK and RWE sign MOU on decarbonization and LNG
14:23 ABS grants Alfa Laval the marine industry’s first approval in principle for firing boilers with methanol
14:08 Nonius Engineering supports International Congress “Hydraulic Engineering Structures and Dredging” as its Sponsor
13:50 Cox Marine collaborates with clean maritime consortium to demonstrate world-first diesel-hydrogen outboard
13:22 The leading Russian supertrawler for the Russian Fishery Company has successfully inclined
12:36 Throughput of Rostov-on-Don port in 11M’2021 fell by 15%, year-on-year
12:14 Stena Line to open new daily route to Finland
11:49 Russia joins the Nairobi International Convention on the Removal of Wrecks
11:12 Exports of Sibanthracite Group to India in 2021 to total 3.5 million tonnes of coal and anthracite
11:00 Long Beach and Los Angeles keep ‘Container Dwell Fee’ on hold until Dec. 13
10:51 DSV launches Green Logistics to accelerate the green transition of the industry
10:47 Throughput of Taganrog port in 11M’2021 fell by 2% Y-o-Y
10:24 Average spot market price for Russian M100 product fell to RUB 25,252 pmt
10:06 Flag-raising ceremony held on Norvezhskoye More trawler, first serial factory ship of KMT01 design
09:45 MABUX: Global bunker indexes to turn to firm upward trend on Dec. 07
09:28 Baltic Dry Index as of December 3
09:13 Crude oil prices continue rising

2021 December 6

18:37 The Port of Bergen changes the name of the Hurtigruten terminal
18:22 Preliminary results of Volga Basin cargo traffic – 41.39 million tonnes
18:14 Equinor invests in battery storage company
17:55 ENGIE and Masdar form US$5 billion strategic alliance to drive UAE’s green hydrogen economy
17:38 Moody’s upgrades Global Ports’ rating to Ba1 with stable outlook
17:16 Solstad Offshore announces long-term contracts in Brazil
16:44 Port of HaminaKotka cargo turnover in 11M’2021 fell by 1.5%
16:20 TezMedz and Tabiyat.pk signs contract with Maersk for integrated cold chain solutions
16:05 “K” Line obtains VSPS regarding Australian quarantine for car carrier
15:55 LR and InterManager share new insights into the causes of lifeboat accidents
15:50 Sea Port of Saint-Petersburg upgrades its infrastructure
15:14 Diana Shipping announces the acquisition of a resale new-building Capesize dry bulk vessel
14:57 Arctia’s IB Otso sets off for the Bay of Bothnia as the season’s first icebreaker
14:35 Cargo traffic within Azov-Don Basin of Russia’s IWWs fell by 14.2% in 2021
14:03 Jan De Nul receives the transport & installation for Vesterhav Nord & Syd wind farm in Denmark
13:48 Onezhsky Shipyard lays down sixth crab catching ship for Russian Crab Group
13:16 DOTr, PPA unveil P316 million Zamboanga port expansion
12:42 Cargo transportation by Volga-Don Canal decreased by 10.6% in navigation season 2021
12:14 New technology risks must be tackled despite decade of progress in ship safety, warns DNV
11:57 Сruise ship Peotr Veliky made first technological voyage
11:38 Mohammed bin Rashid and Mohamed bin Zayed launch UAE Rail Program
11:14 IAA PortNews’ summary of previous week news
10:51 MABUX: No firm trend on Global bunker market on Dec 06
10:20 New shipyard for large-capacity facilities should be built in Russia – opinion
09:29 Crude oil market sees recovery of prices
09:12 Baltic Dry Index as of December 3

2021 December 5

15:03 GasLog Ltd. places order at DSME for four 174000m3 gas carriers
13:27 USCG holds annual SaR exercise off Maui
12:33 Port of Felixstowe tops 100 million TEU
11:51 Vuosaari fairway deepening project completed on schedule, safely and under budget
10:47 New regional technology clusters in WA and Qld driving growth in Australia’s hydrogen sector

2021 December 4

15:21 MOL and Flotation Energy to explore offshore floating wind in Japan