The global cellular ship capacity is expected to increase to 13.26 million 20-foot equivalent units at the end of the year from 12.36 million TEUs at the end of 2008, instead of the 14.02 million TEUs projected in January, according to Alphaliner, the Paris-based container shipping consultancy.
The growth rate for 2009, taking in to account delivery deferrals, slippage, and potential scrapping for the rest of the year, will be around 7.3 percent against the 13.4 percent originally forecast.
The revised growth rate is the lowest this decade, Alphaliner said. The fleet grew by 13.2 percent in 2008, a record 16.1 percent in 2006 and a low of 8.9 percent in 2003.
The lower growth rate in 2009 is due to the significant slippage of new vessel deliveries as well as record scrapping rates, according to Alphaliner.
Deliveries of containerships to the end of August reached 190 vessels with a combined capacity of 784,000 TEUs, while 145 ships of 275,000 TEUs have been scrapped.